Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.157197 1.384311 1.661123 2.028984 2.513805 3.143976 4.047693
2025-01-12 0.814296 1.067297 1.418088 1.960149 2.817112 4.200647 6.805826
2025-01-19 0.641867 0.892743 1.271959 1.924435 3.110443 5.407841 11.013999
2025-01-26 0.565894 0.827886 1.254879 2.065539 3.753714 7.720756 20.966988
2025-02-02 0.504775 0.768268 1.224333 2.164177 4.370939 10.614096 40.211706
2025-02-09 0.445745 0.698415 1.155824 2.160023 4.758706 13.408184 72.218712
2025-02-16 0.393626 0.630514 1.074425 2.098954 4.970850 15.999085 125.002278
2025-02-23 0.361678 0.593162 1.043441 2.141828 5.517318 20.983406 290.806025
2025-03-02 0.338677 0.568440 1.032247 2.229287 6.285673 29.083889 1004.177719
2025-03-09 0.313457 0.535544 0.996944 2.242375 6.818060 37.734398 4637.390706
2025-03-16 0.285532 0.493610 0.934294 2.160593 6.928447 43.929818 27726.701469
2025-03-23 0.271376 0.477583 0.927312 2.239480 7.827175 63.062481 NaN
2025-03-30 0.254550 0.454495 0.901156 2.256878 8.503362 86.411964 NaN
2025-04-06 0.235299 0.424240 0.853255 2.191375 8.711894 106.151382 NaN
2025-04-13 0.219589 0.399906 0.816296 2.152623 9.068316 136.731828 NaN
2025-04-20 0.214471 0.397942 0.835229 2.317311 10.963202 270.730418 NaN
2025-04-27 0.207423 0.390816 0.839542 2.432538 12.774855 545.131355 NaN
2025-05-04 0.196615 0.373977 0.815096 2.427709 13.661487 904.155979 NaN
2025-05-11 0.184613 0.353274 0.777153 2.356418 13.884282 1289.480621 NaN
2025-05-18 0.177562 0.343457 0.768270 2.406461 15.456545 3132.933090 NaN
2025-05-25 0.172527 0.337885 0.770635 2.508706 17.929907 15195.555947 NaN
2025-06-01 0.165444 0.326725 0.755049 2.524026 19.475707 99485.630768 NaN
2025-06-08 0.156090 0.309290 0.718586 2.428381 19.350105 359109.914187 NaN